Your Branded Search ROAS Is 12x Because Google Is Counting Sales You Already Own
Google Ads branded search campaigns show inflated ROAS because they intercept customers who already decided to buy. Incrementality testing reveals only 30% of branded search conversions are truly incremental—70% would have happened through organic search anyway (Haus, 2025). One branded Performance Max campaign paid for an estimated $500,000 in organic revenue (Search Engine Land, 2025). WooCommerce store owners spend 20-30% of their ad budget on branded keywords, effectively paying for traffic they already own. Google now offers incrementality experiments starting at $5,000, and BigQuery order-level data provides independent measurement to prove whether branded search creates demand or simply intercepts it.